BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Waverly-Shell Rock

Class: 3A Class Rank: 39 Conference: (8-11-0) Overall: (19-16-0) Overall Strength =   23.98

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Away    W    29.08  13   1   2A  79 ( 5-22) Denver                  5.09      6.91                      
  2 05/22/2012 Home    L    17.22   0  13   3A   3 (35-10) Epworth W Dubuque      -6.76     -6.24  5 innings           
  3 05/29/2012 Home    W *  23.62   7   5   3A  52 ( 9-25) Waukon                 -0.36      2.36                      
  4 05/29/2012 Home    W *  22.62   7   6   3A  52 ( 9-25) Waukon                 -1.36      2.36                      
  5 05/30/2012 Home    W    23.75   3   1   2A  36 (21- 9) Forest City            -0.23      2.23                      
  6 06/01/2012 Away    L *  23.03   5   6   3A  36 (18-19) Charles City           -0.95     -0.05                      
  7 06/01/2012 Away    W *  28.03   4   0   3A  36 (18-19) Charles City            4.05     -0.05                      
  8 06/02/2012 Unknown L    16.00   3  10   2A  26 (25-12) South Winneshiek       -7.99      0.99                      
  9 06/02/2012 Unknown W    25.52  14  12   1A  15 (26-13) Turkey Valley           1.54      0.46                      
 10 06/05/2012 Home    W    27.54  10   7   4A  41 ( 6-33) Waterloo West           3.56     -0.56                      
 11 06/06/2012 Home    W    30.05  11   1   3A  59 ( 6-21) LaPorte City Union      6.07      3.93                      
 12 06/06/2012 Home    W    21.05   9   8   3A  59 ( 6-21) LaPorte City Union     -2.93      3.93                      
 13 06/08/2012 Home    L *  16.65   2  12   3A  20 (23- 8) New Hampton            -7.33     -2.67                      
 14 06/09/2012 Home    W    21.29  11   9   2A  66 (11-15) Aplington AP           -2.70      4.70                      
 15 06/09/2012 Home    W    28.64  14   8   4A  45 ( 7-32) Waterloo East           4.66      1.34                      
 16 06/11/2012 Home    W *  31.86   8   4   3A  10 (28-11) Decorah                 7.88     -3.88                      
 17 06/12/2012 Away    L    21.23   6  12   4A  30 (22-19) Cedar Falls            -2.75     -3.25                      
 18 06/13/2012 Home    L *  17.50   2   6   3A  53 (11-26) Cresco Crestwood       -6.49      2.49                      
 19 06/15/2012 Away    L *  19.66   0   6   3A  23 (25-11) Oelwein                -4.32     -1.68                      
 20 06/18/2012 Away    L *  19.39   5   7   3A  52 ( 9-25) Waukon                 -4.59      2.59                      
 21 06/19/2012 Home    W    34.48  18   0   3A  63 ( 2-37) Anamosa                10.50      7.50                      
 22 06/20/2012 Home    L *  22.27   5   7   3A  36 (18-19) Charles City           -1.72     -0.28                      
 23 06/22/2012 Home    L    27.68  11  12   2A   4 (28-10) Waterloo Columbus       3.70     -4.70  8 inn.              
 24 06/26/2012 Away    L *  23.42   5   8   3A  20 (23- 8) New Hampton            -0.56     -2.44                      
 25 06/26/2012 Away    W *  27.42   3   2   3A  20 (23- 8) New Hampton             3.44     -2.44                      
 26 06/29/2012 Away    L *  25.63   3   5   3A  10 (28-11) Decorah                 1.64     -3.64                      
 27 06/29/2012 Away    L *  20.63   0   7   3A  10 (28-11) Decorah                -3.36     -3.64                      
 28 07/02/2012 Away    L    14.97   2  10   1A  16 (23- 8) Don Bosco              -9.01      1.01                      
 29 07/03/2012 Away    W *  23.26   3   1   3A  53 (11-26) Cresco Crestwood       -0.72      2.72  8 innings           
 30 07/03/2012 Away    W *  22.26   3   2   3A  53 (11-26) Cresco Crestwood       -1.72      2.72                      
 31 07/05/2012 Home    W    25.29   6   0   2A  66 (11-15) Aplington AP            1.30      4.70                      
 32 07/06/2012 Home    L *  22.90   3   6   3A  23 (25-11) Oelwein                -1.09     -1.91                      
 33 07/06/2012 Home    W *  32.90  11   4   3A  23 (25-11) Oelwein                 8.91     -1.91                      
 34 07/10/2012 Away    W    27.79  10   7   3A  34 (18-24) Vinton-Shellsburg       3.80     -0.80                      
 35 07/13/2012 Unknown L *  24.78   2   3   3A  23 (25-11) Oelwein                 0.80     -1.80                      
      Averages              23.98   6.3  5.9

Best game:   34.48 = 18 point win over Anamosa
Worst game:  14.97 = 8 point loss to Gilbertville Don Bosco
Team stdev:   4.80